Prepare for Trumps Tariffs 2025

How U.S. Tariffs Could Affect Canadian Homeowners

Earlier this week, the U.S. government announced a 25% tariff on all imports from Canada and Mexico, sparking concerns across multiple industries, including HVAC.

This decision will directly impact heating and cooling equipment prices for Canadian homeowners, as many HVAC components and units are manufactured in or sourced from these countries.

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What This Means for the HVAC Industry

The heating and cooling industry has already been facing price increases due to regulatory changes, supply chain disruptions, and rising material costs. With the additional 25% tariff imposed on imports from Mexico and Canada, HVAC systems could see yet another jump in pricing.

Many HVAC brands—including Lennox, Carrier, Trane, Rheem, and Goodman—source parts or manufacture equipment in Mexico and Canada. Even though some equipment is assembled in the U.S., many of the internal components, such as fan motors, thermostats, and heat exchangers, come from tariffed regions. This means the cost of production for U.S.-made units will also rise, further increasing prices for Canadian homeowners.

Screenshot of a social media post purportedly by Donald J. Trump. The text discusses caravans from Mexico, tariffs on Mexican goods, and blaming Mexico and Canada for open borders. The post shows 38 retweets and 1.11k likes.

Key Impacts on the HVAC Industry

Navigating Tariff Challenges

Increased Manufacturing Costs

Major HVAC brands rely on parts and equipment manufactured in Mexico and Canada. The new tariffs will significantly raise production costs, leading to higher prices for consumers.

Upcoming Regulatory Changes

With the 2025 refrigerant regulations on the horizon, costs were already set to rise. The addition of tariffs accelerates these increases, impacting affordability.

Increased Costs for Canadian Homeowners

The Impact on Canadian Homeowners

For everyday Canadians looking to upgrade their home’s heating or cooling system, these tariffs could lead to higher upfront costs. Many homeowners have been considering heat pumps as an energy-efficient alternative, especially with available rebates and incentives. However, if HVAC manufacturers pass on these new costs, consumers could see price hikes ranging from 10-30% in the near future.

Additionally, with Canada’s current Prime Minister historically responding to U.S. tariffs with countermeasures, we may see retaliatory tariffs on American-made goods, further complicating pricing.

Upcoming Tariffs: Why Acting Now Can Save You Thousands

Prepare for Rising HVAC Costs Before It’s Too Late

1. Beat the Price Surge

With newly announced tariffs on imported HVAC equipment and components, costs are expected to climb significantly. Lock in today’s pricing before these increases take effect.

2. Avoid Supply Chain Disruptions

High demand and supply chain delays could make it harder to find the right heating and cooling system at an affordable price. Upgrading now ensures you get what you need without unexpected shortages.

3. Take Advantage of Rebates While They Last

Current government and utility rebates make upgrading more affordable, but these incentives may be reduced or discontinued as policies change. Don’t miss out on potential savings.

4. Prevent Costly Breakdowns

Older HVAC systems are more prone to breakdowns, especially during extreme weather. Upgrading now ensures reliability, efficiency, and lower maintenance costs in the long run.

HRAI Advocates Against U.S. Tariffs on HVAC Equipment

Why Now Is the Best Time to Upgrade Your HVAC System

This price uncertainty makes now the best time to upgrade your HVAC system before costs rise further.

Preemptive Price Increases – HVAC manufacturers have already planned price increases for 2025 due to the upcoming refrigerant changes under the AIM Act. These new tariffs will only add to that.
Potential Loss of Incentives – With the U.S. government reconsidering clean energy incentives, rebates such as the Energy Efficiency Home Improvement Credit (25C) could be reduced or eliminated, making heat pumps and high-efficiency systems more expensive in the future.
Supply Chain Delays – Rising costs could lead to stock shortages as contractors and homeowners rush to secure equipment before prices spike further.
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City Home Comfort Team